Category Archives: Disasters

Are we entering a new Dark Age?

Through time and across civilizations we will explore the cyclical nature of societal decline. Drawing parallels between the English Civil War, the fall of Islamic Civilization, and the onset of the Medieval Era in Europe, and similar periods of regression elsewhere. We’ll also examine the critical roles of knowledge, communication and education in sustaining civilization. Amidst the contemporary challenges of disinformation, eroding political trust, and deepening inequality, we’ll look down the dark corridors of history to find lessons that can guide us in preventing a modern descent into a new Dark Age. 

Talk to SLR November 28th, 2024

References and Further Reading

Ahmed, N. (2024, November 8). Trump’s America: The Fulcrum of a Global ‘Network War’ on Democracy. Byline Times. https://bylinetimes.com/2024/11/08/trumps-america-the-fulcrum-of-a-global-network-war-on-democracy/

Democracy index. (May 2024). Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu

Fazio, L. K., Rand, D. G., & Pennycook, G. (2019). Repetition increases perceived truth equally for plausible and implausible statements. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 26(5), 1705–1710. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-019-01651-4

Khan, M. (2024, October 22). Why Ibn Khaldun Still Matters. New Lines Institute. https://newlinesinstitute.org/geo-economics/why-ibn-khaldun-still-matters/

LA Times. (2024). Reality TV workers face a bleak job market amid production decline—Los Angeles Times. https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-08-05/the-hollywood-production-collapses-latest-victim-why-the-reality-tv-bubble-finally-burst

Live Science. (2022, May 3). The Universe Could Start Shrinking ‘Remarkably’ Soon, Scientists Say. ScienceAlert. https://www.sciencealert.com/the-universe-could-start-shrinking-remarkably-soon

Medill’s 2024 State of Local News report expands what it qualifies as local news—And asks readers to point out what it missed. (October 23, 2024). Nieman Lab. https://www.niemanlab.org/2024/10/medills-2024-state-of-local-news-report-expands-what-it-qualifies-as-local-news-and-asks-readers-to-point-out-what-it-missed

Oswald, L., Lorenz-Spreen, P., Hertwig, R., & Lewandowsky, S. (2022, November 7). Is the global decline in democracy linked to social media? We combed through the evidence to find out. The Conversation. http://theconversation.com/is-the-global-decline-in-democracy-linked-to-social-media-we-combed-through-the-evidence-to-find-out-193841

Park, M., Leahey, E., & Funk, R. J. (2023). Papers and patents are becoming less disruptive over time. Nature, 613(7942), 138–144. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05543-x

Sagan, C., (2011). The Demon-Haunted World Random House Publishing Group

Santos, C. (2024, June 11). Chipotle’s CEO Responded To Claims About Portion Sizes. https://www.buzzfeed.com/claudiasantos/chipotle-ceo-small-portions-response

Saric, I. (2024, August 13). U.S. theme parks are emptier as costs surge and travelers go global. Axios. https://www.axios.com/2024/08/13/theme-disney-universal-parks-visitor-decline

Teen Mental Health Facts and Statistics 2024. (2024). https://blog.compasshealthcenter.net/teen-mental-health-statistics

The ‘Enshittification’ of TikTok | WIRED. (2022). https://www.wired.com/story/tiktok-platforms-cory-doctorow/

What do historians lose with the decline of local news?  | History Today. (May 5 2023). https://www.historytoday.com/archive/head-head/what-do-historians-lose-decline-local-news

West, D. How disinformation defined the 2024 election narrative. (November 7, 2024). Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-disinformation-defined-the-2024-election-narrative/

Why is emotional distress rising worldwide? – Big Think. (April 3, 2023). https://bigthink.com/the-present/emotional-distress-is-rising-worldwide/

Yoni Appelbaum: Americans Aren’t Practicing Democracy—The Atlantic. (2018). https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/10/losing-the-democratic-habit/568336/

Ethical Governance of Global Health Security in an Age of Polycrisis

Dr. W. Andy Knight and Dr. Rosalind Warner

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed critical gaps in the effort to improve global health security and highlighted the need for ethical frameworks to guide preparedness and response efforts. This study examines the ethical challenges in governing global health security amidst intersecting crises. The objective is to identify and analyze key ethical dilemmas and propose principles for equitable, accountable, and effective global health security governance.

Poster prepared for Canadian Association for Global Health Conference October 23-25, 2024

Vancouver, BC Canada

Selected References

Equity and Fairness

Balabanova, D., McKee, M., Mills, A., Walt, G., & Haines, A. (2010). What can global health institutions do to help strengthen health systems in low income countries. Health Policy Research and Systems, 8, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1186/1478-4505-8-22

Connolly, K. (n.d.). Freedom and Fairness: Covid Vaccine Passport Plans Cause Global Unease. The Guardian. Guardian News and Media. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/07/freedom-and-fairness-covid-vaccine-passport-plans-cause-global-unease.

Deivanayagam, T. A., English, S., Hickel, J., Bonifacio, J., Guinto, R. R., Hill, K. X., Huq, M., Issa, R., Mulindwa, H., Nagginda, H. P., de Morais Sato, P., Selvarajah, S., Sharma, C., & Devakumar, D. (2023). Envisioning environmental equity: Climate change, health, and racial justice. The Lancet, 402(10395), 64–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00919-4

Dewan, A. (n.d.). A Fight between the EU and UK Reveals the Ugly Truth about Vaccine Nationalism. CNN. Cable News Network. https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/30/europe/uk-eu-astrazeneca-vaccine-nationalism-gbr-intl/index.html.

Elbe, S. (2010). A Global Pharmacy for the poor? Endemics and Other Human Insecurities. In Security and Global Health (p. 220). Polity Press.

Loh, M. (n.d.). Who Chief: It’s ‘Seriously Disappointing’ That Rich Countries Are Ordering Booster Shots While Other Nations Need Vaccines. Insider. Insider. https://www.insider.com/who-admonishes-rich-countries-buying-booster-shots-others-need-vaccines-2021-7.

O’Neill Institute For National & Global Health Law Georgetown Law & Center for Transformational Health Law. (2022, April). Equitable Access Review of CEPI’s COVID-19 Vaccine Development Agreements. https://oneill.law.georgetown.edu/publications/equitable-access-review-of-cepis-covid-19-vaccine-development-agreements/

Smith, R., Beaglehole, R., Woodward, D., Drager, N., & Smith, R. (2003). Global public goods for health: Health economic and public health perspectives. Oxford University Press.

Van De Pas, R., Widdowson, M. A., Ravinetto, R., N Srinivas, P., Ochoa, T. J., Fofana, T. O., & Van Damme, W. (2022). COVID-19 vaccine equity: A health systems and policy perspective. Expert Review of Vaccines, 21(1), 25–36. https://doi.org/10.1080/14760584.2022.2004125

Beneficence and Non-Maleficence

McDougall, L. (2016). Discourse, ideas and power in global health policy networks: Political attention for maternal and child health in the millennium development goal era. Globalization and Health, 12(1), 309. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-016-0157-9

Pike, J., Bogich, T., Elwood, S., Finnoff, D. C., & Daszak, P. (2014). Economic optimization of a global strategy to address the pandemic threat. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(52), 18519–18523. https://doi.org/10.1073/PNAS.1412661112

Autonomy and Privacy

Dror, A. A., Eisenbach, N., Taiber, S., Morozov, N. G., Mizrachi, M., Zigron, A., Srouji, S., & Sela, E. (2020). Vaccine hesitancy: The next challenge in the fight against COVID-19. European Journal of Epidemiology, 35(8), 775–779. https://doi.org/10.1007/S10654-020-00671-Y/FIGURES/3

Packard, R. M. (2016). A History of Global Health: Interventions Into the Lives of Other People.

Sallam, M. (2021). Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy worldwide: A concise systematic review of vaccine acceptance rates. Vaccines, 9(2), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/VACCINES9020160

Salmon, D. A., Haber, M., Gangarosa, E. J., Phillips, L., Smith, N. J., & Chen, R. T. (1999). Health consequences of religious and philosophical exemptions from immunization laws: Individual and societal risk of measles. Journal of the American Medical Association, 282(1), 47–53. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.282.1.47

Turnbull, S. (n.d.). Here’s What Canada’s Privacy Commissioners Say Must Be Considered for Vaccine Passports. Coronavirus. CTV News. https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/here-s-what-canada-s-privacy-commissioners-say-must-be-considered-for-vaccine-passports-1.5434967?fbclid=IwAR1Qu_olw-hmvgTkxJpDJCIYhCQ2mwKUKoEb1b3BchNJrjX7LU6YFAYdk7A.

Global Solidarity

Acharya, A. (n.d.). A ‘Third Way’ for World Order after Covid-19: Think Global Health. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.thinkglobalhealth.org/article/third-way-world-order-after-covid-19.

Duff, J. H., Liu, A., Saavedra, J., Batycki, J., Morancy, K., Stocking, B., O Gostin, L., Galea, S., Bertozzi, S., Zuniga, J. M., Alberto-Banatin, C., Dansua, A. S., del Rio, C., Kulzhanov, M., Lee, K., Scaglia, G., Shahpar, C., Ullmann, A. J., Hoffman, S. J., … Szapocznik, J. (2021). A global public health convention for the 21st century. Lancet Public Health, 6(6), 428–433.

Eaton, L., & Humphreys, G. (2020). The need for a coordinated international pandemic response. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 98(6), 378–379. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.20.020620

Gostin, L. O., & Friedman, E. A. (2014). Ebola: A crisis in global health leadership. The Lancet, 384(9951), 1323. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(14)61791-8

Gupta, N., Singh, B., Kaur, J., Singh, S., & Chattu, V. K. (2021). Covid-19 pandemic and reimagination of multilateralism through global health diplomacy. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(20). https://doi.org/10.3390/SU132011551

Heymann, D. (2006). SARS and emerging infectious diseases: A challenge to place global solidarity above national sovereignty. Annals Academy Of Medicine Singapore, 35(5), 350.

Jamison, D. T., Summers, L. H., Alleyne, G., Arrow, K. J., Berkley, S., Binagwaho, A., Bustreo, F., Evans, D., Feachem, R. G. A., Frenk, J., Ghosh, G., Goldie, S. J., Guo, Y., Gupta, S., Horton, R., Kruk, M. E., Mahmoud, A., Mohohlo, L. K., Ncube, M., … Yamey, G. (2015). Global health 2035: A world converging within a generation. The Lancet, 382(9908), 1898–1955. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(13)62105-4

Taghizade, S., Chattu, V. K., Jaafaripooyan, E., & Kevany, S. (2021). COVID-19 Pandemic as an Excellent Opportunity for Global Health Diplomacy. Frontiers in Public Health, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/FPUBH.2021.655021

Tong, S., Samet, J. M., Steffen, W., Kinney, P. L., & Frumkin, H. (2023). Solidarity for the Anthropocene. Environmental Research, 235, 116716. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.116716

Individual vs Collective Rights

Global Health Governance: Health Security Vs. Human Rights? (n.d.). Australian Institute of International Affairs. Retrieved 23 September 2023, from https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianoutlook/global-health-governance-health-security-vs-human-rights/

HAYDEN, P. (2012). The human right to health and the struggle for recognition. Review of International Studies, 38(3), 569–588. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0260210511000556

Hollingsworth, T. D., Ferguson, N. M., & Anderson, R. M. (2007). Frequent travelers and rate of spread of epidemics. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 13(9), 1288–1294. https://doi.org/10.3201/EID1309.070081

Hostmaelingen, N., & Bentzen, H. B. (2020). How to operationalise human rights for COVID-19 measures. BMJ Global Health, 5(7), 1–4. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003048

Kata, A. (2012). Anti-vaccine activists, Web 2.0, and the postmodern paradigm—An overview of tactics and tropes used online by the anti-vaccination movement. Vaccine, 30(25), 3778–3789. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.VACCINE.2011.11.112

UNGA (United Nations General Assembly). (2022, July 28). UN General Assembly declares access to clean and healthy environment a universal human right | UN News. https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/07/1123482

Proactive vs Reactive

Ayala, A., Brush, A., Chai, S., Fernandez, J., Ginsbach, K., Gottschalk, K., Halabi, S., Hosangadi, D., Mapatano, D., Monahan, J., Moretti, C., Pillinger, M., Ramirez, G. S., & Rosenfeld, E. (2022). Advancing Legal Preparedness through the Global Health Security Agenda. Journal of Law, Medicine & Ethics, 50(1), 200–203. https://doi.org/10.1017/JME.2022.26

Cáceres, S. B. (n.d.). Global Health Security in an Era of Global Health Threats—Volume 17, Number 10—October 2011—Emerging Infectious Diseases journal—CDC. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1710.101656

de Guttry, A. (2020). Is the International Community Ready for the Next Pandemic Wave? A Legal Analysis of the Preparedness Rules Codified in Universal Instruments and of their Impact in the Light of the COVID-19 Experience. Global Jurist, 20(3), 1–41.

Fukuda-Parr, S. (2022). When indicators fail: SPAR, the invisible measure of pandemic preparedness. Policy and Society. https://doi.org/10.1093/polsoc/puac024

Gostin, L. O., & Ayala, A. S. (2017). Global Health Security in an Era of Explosive Pandemic Potential. Journal of National Security Law & Policy, 9, 53.

Knight, W. A., & Reddy, K. S. (2020). Caribbean response to COVID-19: A regional approach to pandemic preparedness and resilience. The Round Table, 109(4), 464–465. https://doi.org/10.1080/00358533.2020.1790759

Lal, A., Abdalla, S. M., Chattu, V. K., Erondu, N. A., Lee, T., Singh, S., Abou-taleb, H., Morales, J. V., & Phelan, A. (2022). Health Policy Pandemic preparedness and response: Exploring the role of universal health coverage within the global health security architecture. 22, 1–9.

Manika, S. (2021). Fostering preparedness for COVID-19 in cities: How cities can support the healthcare system by efficiently managing emergency funding. TPR: Town Planning Review, 92(3), 293–299.

Nelson, C., Lurie, N., Wasserman, J., & Zakowski, S. (2007). Conceptualizing and Defining Public Health Emergency Preparedness. American Journal of Public Health, 97, S9–S11. https://doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2007.114496

The Petrie-Flom Center Staff. (2022, October 24). Using Legal Preparedness to Minimize Liability Barriers to Accessing Pandemic Vaccine and Medical Countermeasures. Bill of Health. https://blog.petrieflom.law.harvard.edu/2022/10/24/using-legal-preparedness-to-minimize-liability-barriers-to-accessing-pandemic-vaccine-and-medical-countermeasures/

Virtual Blockbuster Bird Flu and the Pandemic of Preparedness Planning. (2018). In Stefan Elbe, Pandemics, Pills, and Politics: Governing Global Health Security (p. 106). Johns Hopkins University Press

Proportionality and Necessity

Dace, H., Miller, B., Ramli, R., Sleat, D., Thorne, E., & Wain, R. (n.d.). The New Necessary: How We Future-Proof for the Next Pandemic. Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. Retrieved 8 July 2021, from https://institute.global/policy/new-necessary-how-

Dzau, V. J., & Rodin, J. (2015). Creating a global health risk framework. New England Journal of Medicine, 373(11), 991–993. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmp1509136

Knight, W. A., & Oriola, T. B. (2022). Vaccine nationalism, violent extremist problematique and state management of combat-related deaths. Https://Doi.Org/10.1080/19392206.2022.2059923, 15(1), 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1080/19392206.2022.2059923

Lal, A., Abdalla, S. M., Chattu, V. K., Erondu, N. A., Lee, T., Singh, S., Abou-taleb, H., Morales, J. V., & Phelan, A. (2022). Health Policy Pandemic preparedness and response: Exploring the role of universal health coverage within the global health security architecture. 22, 1–9.

Samaan, G., Patel, M., Spencer, J., & Roberts, L. (2004). Border screening for SARS in Australia: What has been learnt? Medical Journal of Australia, 180(5), 220–224. https://doi.org/10.5694/J.1326-5377.2004.TB05889.X

The Lancet: New report details “massive global failures” of COVID-19 response, calls for improved multilateral cooperation to end pandemic and effectively manage future global health threats. (2022). SDSN Newsletter. https://www.unsdsn.org/the-lancet-new-report-details-massive-global-failures-of-covid-19response-calls-for-improved-multilateral-cooperation-to-end-pandemic-andeffectively-manage-future-global-health-threats

Transparency and Accountability

Lindmeier, C. (2021). WHO, Germany launch new global hub for pandemic and epidemic intelligence. World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/news/item/05-05-2021-who-germany-launch-new-global-hub-for-pandemic-and-epidemic-intelligence

MacIntyre, C. R., & Aginam, O. (2022, June 22). At what point is a disease deemed to be a global threat? Here’s the answer. The Conversation. http://theconversation.com/at-what-point-is-a-disease-deemed-to-be-a-global-threat-heres-the-answer-185547

Ozawa, S., Paina, L., & Qiu, M. (2016). Exploring pathways for building trust in vaccination and strengthening health system resilience. BMC Health Services Research, 16, 131–141. https://doi.org/10.1186/S12913-016-1867-7

Sturmberg, J. P. (2020). Approaching complexity—Start with awareness. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice, 26(3), 1030–1033. https://doi.org/10.1111/JEP.13355

Post-Anthropocene

View video on CACOR‘s (Canadian Association for theClub of Rome) Youtube Channel.

Covid-19 disrupted the world in unimaginable ways.  Future disasters may be even worse.  Some argue human societies have left the Holocene Epoch and entered the Anthropocene. How might our perceptions of the human-nature relationship now change, and how might we improve policy, governance, and planning? [Note: one correction has been made to the slide set available on the CACOR website–there were 5 mass extinctions in the last 5oo million years. Ed.]

Cascading Catastrophes: Dealing with a New World of Risk

COVID-19 disrupted the world and peoples’ lives in unimaginable ways. It seems likely that future disasters, whether natural or human-made, will be no less disruptive and challenging. This talk will explore how disaster risk shapes our policy, governance, and planning. Using examples, we will look at how risk is unevenly distributed, and how (and whether) we have learned to better prepare and reduce loss and damage from future disasters.

Bibliography and Reading List to Follow